Johnny Depp may once again play Captain Jack Sparrow in the iconic Pirates of the Caribbean franchise. Rumours about the Hollywood actor’s possible return have circulated for years, but recent comments from series producer Jerry Bruckheimer have made this outcome appear much more likely.
Following reports of talks with Depp, users of the US prediction platform Kalshi have raised their estimate of the actor appearing in the next Pirates of the Caribbean film. The market currently places his chances at around 69%.
Kalshi Traders Back Johnny Depp’s Return
Kalshi has opened a separate market on whether Johnny Depp will officially join the cast of the next film in the franchise.
Only a few weeks ago, the platform estimated the likelihood of this outcome at around 59%. It has now risen to approximately 69%, showing that market participants have become much more confident about Depp’s possible return.
However, this figure is not an official statement from Disney or the filmmakers. Kalshi contract prices are determined by participant demand and represent the market’s collective estimate of how likely an event is to happen.
Bruckheimer Confirms Talks With Depp
The latest rise in interest followed comments from Pirates of the Caribbean producer Jerry Bruckheimer. In August 2026, he said the team was discussing a possible return with Depp while continuing to work on the script for the upcoming film.
This marks an important change after years of rumours surrounding the franchise. Depp’s involvement is no longer being discussed only by fans and industry insiders. One of the series’ main producers has now confirmed that talks are taking place.
However, no final agreement has been reached. Disney has not officially announced Johnny Depp’s return, and the full cast of the next film remains unknown.
What Must Happen for the Prediction to Win
The Kalshi market has clear settlement rules. The “Yes” option will win if Johnny Depp is confirmed as a cast member in the next feature-length Pirates of the Caribbean film by January 1, 2035.
Participants do not need to wait for the film’s release or for Jack Sparrow to appear on screen. The deciding event will be a confirmed announcement that Depp has officially joined the cast.
No such announcement has been made yet, so the outcome remains uncertain. Still, the confirmed talks and the rise to 69% show that the return of one of the franchise’s best-known characters is now seen as a realistic possibility.
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